Survivor episode 12

Wright Bites?

Looking at one poll is sometimes dangerous. But several together–all pointing in the same direction–can tell a story. And for Barack Obama, this narrative is scary.

Rasmussen, Gallup, and Fox released national polls in the last two days that break out this way:

Gallup: Clinton 49%, Obama 45% Fox: Clinton 44%, Obama 41% Rasmussen: Clinton 46%, Obama 44%

Two weeks ago, many of these same polls showed Obama with anywhere between a 5-10 percent lead.

While the most recent results all show a virtual statistical tie, itâs the trend over the past couple of weeks that is striking. The Rasmussen poll, for example, reveals a ten-point swing toward Clinton since the Wright press conference.

This plot of all the public polls from Pollster.com shows the most recent “Wright Bites” trend pretty clearly:

USTopzDems.png

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